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2004 Adelphi Papers

  • AP 370: WMD and International Order AP 370:Weapons of Mass Destruction and InternationWilliam Walker   How should the 'problem of order' associated with weapons of mass destruction be understood and addressed today? Have the problem and its solution been misconceived and misrepresented, as manifested by the problematic aftermath of Iraq War? Has 9/11 rendered redundant past international ordering strategies, or are these still discarded at our own peril? These are the questions explored in this Adelphi Paper.   It opens by focusing attention on the linked problems of...
  • AP 368-9: Japan's Re-emergence AP 368-9:Japan's Re-emergence as a 'Normal' MilitaChristopher W. Hughes   Is Japan re-emerging as a 'normal', or even a great, military power in regional and global security affairs? This Adelphi Paper assesses the overall trajectory of...
  • AP 367: Counter-terrorism AP 367:Counter-terrorism: Containment and BeyondJonathan Stevenson   The 9/11 attacks revealed that the transnational terrorist threat facing the US and its partners was far more dangerous than most had previously discerned. It was now clear that al-Qaeda intended to, and could threaten the West's – particularly the US' – political and military leverage, with the aim of shifting the balance of power from the West to Islam after a violent global confrontation. In that sense, the new terrorist threat is strategic, and it has led to a...
  • AP 366: Syria under Bashar al-Asad AP 366:Syria under Bashar al-Asad: Modernisation aVolker Perthes   In the summer of 2000, Bashar al-Asad inherited the presidency of Syria from his father, the long-ruling Hafiz al-Asad. This Paper evaluates the capacity of the new leadership to meet growing societal, economic, political and foreign policy demands.   Halfway through Bashar al-Asad's first term, Syria finds itself in a rapidly changing regional environment. The country is undergoing a process of economic change which, in the long run, may add up to a full...
  • AP 365: Reshaping Defence AP 365:Reshaping DefenceAndrew Cottey and Anthony Forster   Over the last decade there have been major changes in patterns of international defence diplomacy. Defence diplomacy – peacetime military cooperation and assistance – has traditionally been used for realpolitik purposes of strengthening allies against common enemies. Since the early 1990s, however, the Western democracies have increasingly used defence diplomacy for a range of new purposes. These include strategic engagement with former or potential...
  • AP 364: Somalia: State Collapse AP 364:Somalia: State Collapse and the Threat of TKen Menkhaus   Close analysis of how non-state actors adapt to state collapse is critical for effective peacebuilding, development, and counter-terrorism strategies in those crises. In Somalia, the nature of state collapse has changed significantly since 1995. Armed conflict is more localised; lawlessness is better contained by local authorities; and warlords have been weakened by an emerging commercial elite whose interests lie in stability, not plunder. Risk-aversion drives political...
  • AP 363: Human Rights and Counter-terrorism AP 363:Human Rights and Counter-terrorismRosemary Foot     Since 11 September 2001, President George W. Bush's administration has argued that when governments respect both the rule of law and human rights they contribute to a world where terrorism cannot thrive.   For this reason, as well as its commitment to promote its own values, the US claims that it will not relax its efforts to advance human rights.   However, since 11 September the US has often apparently compromised its stance on human rights promotion abroad,...