International Institute for Strategic Studies Adelphi Papers

The International Institute for Strategic Studies

Tuesday 02 December 2008

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The Adelphi Papers

The Adelphi Papers monograph series is the Institute’s principal contribution to policy-relevant, original academic research.

New: The Iranian Nuclear Crisis

AP 398: The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: Avoiding worst-case outcomes by Mark Fitzpatrick

This paper explains how Iran developed its nuclear programme to the point where it threatens to achieve a weapons capability within a short time frame, and analyses Western policy responses aimed at forestalling that capability. The failure of these policies to prevent Iran from coming close to achieving a nuclear-weapons capability has promoted suggestions for strategies that would grant legitimacy to uranium enrichment in Iran in exchange for intrusive inspections and constraints on the programme.

The paper assesses these options in terms of their feasibility and their impact on the proliferation risks of diversion of nuclear material and knowledge, clandestine development and NPT break-out, and the risk of stimulating a proliferation cascade in the Middle East and beyond.

AP 397: European Military Crisis Management: Connecting ambition and reality by Bastian Giegerich

While the EU has succeeded in defining a complex framework for boosting its role and that of its member states in military crisis management, its performance in this area so far has fallen well short of its ambitions.

This paper analyses what the EU wants to be able to do militarily and contrasts this with the current reality. To explain the gap between the two, the paper examines national ambitions and performance across the EU and analyses their domestic determinants. The paper concludes by suggesting that the EU might need to strike a new balance between the inclusiveness and the effectiveness of its activities in this area if it wants to increase its military crisis-management performance and live up to its declared ambitions.

Classic Adelphi Papers

Click here for more information on the Classic Adelphi Papers volume

The Adelphi Papers monograph series is the Institute’s principal contribution to policy-relevant, original academic research. Collected on the occasion of the Institute’s 50th anniversary, the twelve Adelphi Papers in this volume represent some of the ﬁnest examples of writing on strategic issues. They offer insights into the changing security landscape of the past half-century and glimpses of some of the most signiﬁcant security events and trends of our times, from the Cold War nuclear arms race, through the oil crisis of 1973, to the contemporary challenge of asymmetric war in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Published April 2008; 704 pp.