The Sixth IISS Global Strategic Review
CHANGING TRENDS IN GLOBAL POWER AND CONFLICT RESOLUTION
IISS 50th Anniversary Conference
12-14 September 2008
Geneva, Switzerland
All events will take place at
The InterContinental Hotel
7-9 Chemin Du Petit-Saconnex, Geneva 1211
The Plenary Sessions (presentations and discussion) will be on-the-record
The Break Out Groups will be strictly off-the-record
FRIDAY 12 SEPTEMBER 2008
All day Delegates arrive in Geneva; registration
18:30-19:30 OPENING RECEPTION
19:30-22:00 KEYNOTE ADDRESS AND OPENING DINNER
Introductory Remarks
Anton Thalmann, Deputy State Secretary for Foreign Affairs, Switzerland
KEYNOTE ADDRESS
The Honorable Robert B. Zoellick, President, The World Bank Group
SATURDAY 13 SEPTEMBER 2008
08:30-08:45 OPENING REMARKS
Dr John Chipman
Director-General and Chief Executive, IISS
08:45-09:45 First Plenary Session
RUSSIA, THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM AND CURRENT CONFLICTS
Oksana Antonenko
Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, IISS
Ambassador Wolfgang Ischinger
Chairman, Munich Security Conference and Global Head, Government Relations and Public Policy, Allianz SE
Daniel Fung
Chairman, Des Voeux Chambers, Hong Kong
10:00-11:30 Second Plenary Session
REGIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON CONFLICT RESOLUTION
Jose Antonio Garcia Belaunde
Minister of Foreign Affairs of Peru
Ahmedou Ould-Abdallah
United Nations Special Envoy to Somalia
Maj. Gen. (res) Giora Eiland
Former Director, National Security Council, Israel
11:30-12:00 Coffee Break
12:00-13:15 Third Plenary Session
CLIMATE CHANGE AND INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
Christophe de Margerie
Chief Executive, Total
Nitin Desai
Member of the Prime Minister's Council on Climate Change, India
13:30-14:45 Lunch
15:00-16:30 Simultaneous Break-Out Groups
Group 1: Gulf Security Trends
Chair: Dr Mamoun Fandy
Senior Fellow for Gulf Security, IISS
Speakers: Vice Admiral Kevin J Cosgriff (retd) US Navy
Former Commander, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command/U.S., 5th Fleet
Dr Shahram Chubin
Director of Studies, Geneva Centre for Security Policy
Group 2: European Defence Capabilities
Chair: Field Marshal Lord Inge
Speaker: Gen Sir David Richards
Command in Chief, Headquarters, Land Forces
Discussant: Julianne Smith
Director and Senior Fellow, Europe Program, CSIS
Group 3: Asian Military Modernisation
Chair: Dr Tim Huxley
Executive Director, IISS-Asia; Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security
Speakers: Dr Chris Hughes
Reader in International Politics, Warwick University
Dr Tai Ming Cheung
Vice-President, International Risk Ltd
Institute of Global Conflict and Cooperation, University of California San Diego
Richard Smith
Former Australian Defence Secretary and Visiting Fellow, Lowy Institute for International Policy
Group 4: De-Radicalisation Policies and Counter-Terrorism
Chair: Dr Marc Sageman
Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy Research Institute
Speakers: Dr Peter Neumann
Director, International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation and Political Violence, Kings College, London
Erik V. Larson
Rand Corporation
Group 5: Natural Resource Competition and International Security
Chair: Fleur de Villiers
Chairman, IISS
Speakers: Keith Martin
General Manager of External Relations and Political Analysis, VALE, Brazil
Prof Zha Daojiong
School of International Studies, Peking University
Dr Tatiana Mitrova
Head, Center for International Energy Markets Studies, Energy Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences
Group 6: Managing Non-Proliferation
Chair: Mark Fitzpatrick
Senior Fellow for Non-proliferation, IISS
Speakers: Ariel Levite
Non Resident Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Bruno Tertrais
Senior Research Fellow, Foundation for Strategic Research
Alaa Issa
Minister Plenipotentiary, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Egypt
Group 7: Pakistan and Regional Security
Chair: Sir Hilary Synnott
Consulting Senior Fellow, IISS
Speaker: Ahmed Rashid
Writer and Journalist
Discussant: Dr Farzana Shaikh
Associate Fellow, Asia Programme & Director, Pakistan Study Group Royal Institute of International Affairs
16:30-17:00 Coffee break
17:00-18:30 Simultaneous Break-Out Groups
Group 8: Stabilising Iraq
Chair: Sir Hilary Synnott
Consulting Senior Fellow, IISS
Speakers: Dr Faleh Abdul-Jabar
Iraq Institute For Strategic Studies
Dr Toby Dodge
Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East, IISS
Group 9: Military Transformation and Modern Warfare
Chair: Mats Berdal
Department of War Studies, Kings College, London
Speakers: Dr Kimberley Kagan
President, Institute for the Study of War
Dr Hans Binnendijk
Vice President for Research, National Defense University
Group 10: Central Asia and Energy Security
Chair: Oksana Antonenko
Senior Fellow, Russia and Eurasia, IISS
Speakers: Ambassador Pierre Morel
EU Special Representative for CA
Ambassador Steven Mann
Coordinator for Eurasian Energy Diplomacy, United States Department of State
Dr. Elkhan Nuriyev
Director, The Center for Strategic Studies under the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan
Group 11: Economic Development and Conflict Resolution
Chair: Dr Patrick Cronin
Director, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University
Speakers: Prof. Dr. Dewi Fortuna Anwar
Deputy Chairman for Social Sciences and Humanities Indonesian Institute of Sciences (LIPI)
Dr Mark Suzman
Director of Policy and Advocacy, Global Development Program, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Discussant: Dr Michael C Williams
UK Special Representative for the Middle East and Special Projects
Group 12: The US, Iran and the Middle East Balance of Power
Chair: Dr Dana Allin
Senior Fellow for Transatlantic Affairs, IISS
Speakers: Dr Mamoun Fandy
Senior Fellow for Gulf Security, IISS
Volker Perthes
Director, German Institute for International and Security Affairs, Berlin
Group 13: The Nuclear Abolition Debate
Chair: Sir Michael Quinlan
Consulting Senior Fellow, IISS
Speakers: George Perkovich
Vice President for Studies – Global Security and Economic Development
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Dr James Acton
Department of War Studies, Kings College, London
Discussant: Dr Bates Gill
Director, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)
Group 14: Stabilising Afghanistan
Chair: Col. (ret) Christopher Langton
Senior Fellow for Conflict and Defence Diplomacy, IISS
Speakers: Ali A Jalali
Distinguished Professor, Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies, National Defense University, Washington DC
Prof. Wolgang Danspeckgruber
Director, Liechtenstein Institute of Self Determination, Princeton University
19:30-22:30 RECEPTION AND DINNER PANEL
THINKING ABOUT THE US ELECTIONS
Ed Rogers
Chairman, BGR Holding, LLC
Peter Brodnitz
Principal, Berenson Strategy Group
SUNDAY 14 SEPTEMBER 2008
08:45-09:45 Fourth Plenary Session
CURRENT CONFLICTS: AFGHANISTAN AND IRAQ
Fransesc Vendrell
EU Special Representative to Afghanistan
Hoshyar Zebari
Foreign Minister, Iraq
09:45-11:00 Fifth Plenary Session
EUROPE AND CONFLICT RESOLUTION: ISOLATED OR ENGAGED
Gen. Karl Eikenberry
Deputy Chairman, Military Committee, NATO
Jean-Claude Mallet
President of the Commission of the French White Paper on Defence and National Security
Prof. Kim Beazley
Political Science and International Relations, University of West Australia
11:00-11:30 Coffee Break
11:30-13:00 Sixth Plenary Session
ECONOMICS, SECURITY AND CONFLICT RESOLUTION
Dr Tony Tan
Deputy Chairman and Executive Director of GIC
Sir Ronald Cohen
Chairman, Portland Trust
13:00-13:15 ENVOI
13:15-14:30 CLOSING LUNCHEON